| View previous topic :: View next topic |
| Do You Trust Election Polls? |
| I love a good polling. |
|
20% |
[ 6 ] |
| I'm hesitant about who thrusts the poll. |
|
13% |
[ 4 ] |
| I concerned about the margin of error when polling. |
|
20% |
[ 6 ] |
| I like Winston's Poll. |
|
10% |
[ 3 ] |
| I like the idea of a well hung parliament |
|
34% |
[ 10 ] |
|
| Total Votes : 29 |
|
| Author |
Message |
happybaboon
Mangled
Joined: Feb 06, 2002
Posts: 28,784
Location: doing skiddds
|
 Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 10:48am Post subject: Do You Trust Election Polls? |
  |
|
http://www.stuff.co.nz/stuff/poll/result/0,2149,13106|10,00.html
I'm glad people are clever enough to see through them like this - I can't believe how useless the polls have been this time around. In the last two elections the polls haven't jumped around like they are now, and generally reflected how things turned out on election day.
I'm pretty sure that this time around they're gnikcuf with their results or conducting the polls in such a way to generate 'shock' results which make good news stories. Every night either TVNZ or TV3 turns the previous poll conducted by the other on it's head - Two weeks ago, National was storming into the lead, then Labour was 7% ahead, now over the weekend one poll says they're 2% apart and another puts National back well in the lead. I think it's bulltihs and I'm becomming more and more convinced that they're conducting polls in order to generate news. I don't like it 
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Sims
Wrecked
Joined: Aug 21, 2002
Posts: 5,111
Location: Auckville
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 10:52am Post subject: |
|
|
|
I thought 80% of statistics were irrelivant anyway…
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
mtbrat
Huge Tracts of Land
Joined: Feb 13, 2003
Posts: 13,489
Location: Shaven Haven
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 10:55am Post subject: |
|
|
|
hahahahaaaa polls, the media, truth, justice and vegetable rights and peace
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
honeymonster
Flogged
Joined: Apr 22, 2004
Posts: 2,066
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 10:55am Post subject: |
|
|
I love it when they state... 'National are 1.3% ahead' one day, then 'Labour are 3% ahead' two days later. And the small print for both states a margin of error of + or - 4%.
90% of all statistics are kcollobs 
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
happybaboon
Mangled
Joined: Feb 06, 2002
Posts: 28,784
Location: doing skiddds
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 10:57am Post subject: |
|
|
| honeymonster wrote: | | 90% of all statistics are kcollobs |
Whats the margin of error on that one? 
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
honeymonster
Flogged
Joined: Apr 22, 2004
Posts: 2,066
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 10:59am Post subject: |
|
|
| happybaboon wrote: | | honeymonster wrote: | | 90% of all statistics are kcollobs |
Whats the margin of error on that one? |
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
ssipface
Boneshaker
Joined: Jan 28, 2003
Posts: 17,513
Location: Planet Claire
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 11:01am Post subject: |
|
|
I note we have the prospect of a hung parliament
That woudl be a first, but I do not wish to see the calendar!
I had thought they were all eunuchs, which is why they got into politics in the first place.
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
Grant
Flogged
Joined: Aug 26, 2004
Posts: 2,785
Location: Miramar Peak
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 11:19am Post subject: |
|
|
This thread needs a poll 
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
thorg
horse riding
Joined: May 20, 2004
Posts: 13,613
Location: looking out at Makara
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 11:23am Post subject: |
|
|
I read the title as "do you thrust election poles" 
so was dissappointed when I read this thread 
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
happybaboon
Mangled
Joined: Feb 06, 2002
Posts: 28,784
Location: doing skiddds
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 11:26am Post subject: |
|
|
| ssipface wrote: | I note we have the prospect of a hung parliament
That woudl be a first, but I do not wish to see the calendar!
I had thought they were all eunuchs, which is why they got into politics in the first place. |
I don't think it's likely, considering especially how National har marginalised all of it's potential coalition partners they + United Future would need an outright majority, and depending on who you believe the most they've got is 45% support.
I'm guessing the Governor general would, in those circumstances, allow Labour to form a minority Government rather than National as they would be more likely to be able to govern.
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
bugle
Wrecked
Joined: Apr 24, 2002
Posts: 7,835
Location: Welli
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 11:30am Post subject: |
|
|
|
No one has asked me so I dont believe the polls
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
orangecruz
Flogged
Joined: May 09, 2005
Posts: 4,004
Location: Wellington
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 11:33am Post subject: |
|
|
|
I got polled over the weekend!
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
orangecruz
Flogged
Joined: May 09, 2005
Posts: 4,004
Location: Wellington
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 11:34am Post subject: |
|
|
|
Oh my god .. just realised how that might sound!
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
happybaboon
Mangled
Joined: Feb 06, 2002
Posts: 28,784
Location: doing skiddds
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 11:35am Post subject: |
|
|
Of course, NZ has a minority govt. at the moment - Labour+Progressives is a minority, and relies on support from Greens/NZ First/United Future.
Hung parliament/minority government are the same thing...
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
james
on your right
Joined: Feb 09, 2004
Posts: 13,750
Location: land of the long white latte
|
| Posted: Mon 12/Sep/05 1:13pm Post subject: |
|
|
| Moki wrote: | | This thread needs a poll |
| thorg wrote: | I read the title as "do you thrust election poles"
so was dissappointed when I read this thread |
| orangecruz wrote: | | I got polled over the weekend! |
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
|
